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Can Non-Professional Political Actors Engender Affective Polarization? Experimental Evidence from Brazil.

Comparative Politics
Latin America
Electoral Behaviour
Political Ideology
Survey Experiments
Virginia Rocha
European University Institute
Virginia Rocha
European University Institute
Matheus Cunha

Abstract

Can non-professional political actors engender affective polarization? To answer this question, we implement two vignette experiments in Brazil, a country with a multiparty system, weakly institutionalized parties, and influential non-professional politicians. In the first study, we use real political news highlighting polarizing discourse against current President Lula from both political elites and evangelical leaders. The second study introduces a purely hypothetical context, adding a non-political actor's profile, specifically a football player. We propose the following hypotheses: (i) Exposure to polarizing discourse by political elites, professional or not, increases mass affective polarization; and (ii) Exposure to non-professional political elite's polarizing discourse increases mass affective polarization to a greater extent than exposure to political elite's polarizing discourse. Our findings contribute to two key areas of affective polarization research: first, by shifting focus from highly industrialized and advanced democracies to a non-consolidated one, and second, by investigating the role of non-professional political actors in affective polarization, thereby broadening the understanding of these actors’ impact on polarization processes.