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Will personal votes matter for ministers? Electoral causes and consequences of cabinet committee membership

Executives
Government
Political Parties
Coalition
Voting Behaviour
Peter Heyn Nielsen
University of Oxford
Peter Heyn Nielsen
University of Oxford

Abstract

Martin (2016) found "holding a ministerial portfolio confers an electoral advantage, and so, in contrast to their co-partisans, politicians who are ministers simultaneously maximize policy, office and votes." In so, parties are not entirely unitary actors. To advance this point, I propose that cabinets should not be considered unitary either. Rather, cabinets are hierarchical, and cabinet committees mark a clear demarcation line of this hierarchy. In this paper, I propose and investigate two claims. First, personal votes will increase ministers’ probability of being appointed to central cabinet committees. Second, cabinet committee members enjoy an electoral advantage compared to non-members. A dataset on Danish ministers‘ personal votes from 16 elections from 1977 to 2022 is studied to explore these claims. The results only partly support these claims. A higher number of total personal votes will increase probability of appointment to the Coordination Committee. On the contrary, membership of the Economic Committee appears to be an electoral disadvantage.