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Wasted Votes, the S/F Ratio, Duvergerian Equilibria and Political Competition: A Conceptual Synthesis and Some New Measures

Elections
Political Competition
Voting
Peter Selb
Universität Konstanz
Bernard Grofman
University of California, Irvine
Peter Selb
Universität Konstanz

Abstract

We look at conceptual underpinnings of the idea of wasted votes and its relationship to political competition, strategic voting and non-Duvergerian equilibria. In the process we (a) offer an extension of Cox’s S/F ratio approach that we believe better captures wasted votes in voting situations where there is more than a single candidate to be elected and lopsided elections, (b) look at conceptual ambiguities in how wasted votes are to be measured, and propose a straightforward way to measure wasted votes in single- and multiseat contests, and (c) provide empirical evidence drawn from district level data in Spain and the U.K. on how our measures correlate with each other and with a measure of political competition and on how they can be used to provide improved insights into electoral dynamics resulting from Duvergerian effects.