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Elite Turnover in Times of Crisis

P103
Patrick Dumont
Australian National University
Hanna Bäck
Lunds Universitet

Abstract

The link between economic-financial crises and electoral results is a topic addressed by retrospective voting and more specifically economic voting theories. Whether electoral results are followed by government change (wholesale or partial turnover in party composition, change of Prime Minister) is yet another question in multi-party systems where coalition governments are needed to reach a majority in parliament. Electoral responsiveness and accountability of incumbents are at the core of this panel which seeks to address various types of government turnover and their link with economic-financial crises. Paper proposals analysing government turnover are welcome. Is this turnover indeed greater in times of crisis, reflecting either great electoral swings or greater attention on the part of elites to electoral results? What explains instances of incumbent Prime Ministers not even standing for re-election? When incumbents are able to come back to power, do we observe changes in ministerial personnel? These are, among others, research questions we hope to tackle and discuss in the panel.

Title Details
Constitutional Rules, Economic Shocks and Time: A Dynamic Account of Cabinet Termination View Paper Details
Performance and Survival of Ministers in Times of Economic Crisis: An Analysis of Turnover in Canadian and Swedish Cabinets View Paper Details
Economic Crises, Political Institutions and Cabinet Turnover in 28 European Parliamentary Democracies, 1945-2011 View Paper Details
Fighting Economic Recession: When Do Economic Conditions Have an Impact on Government Duration and Electoral Performance? View Paper Details