Abstract: Many observers of EU politics are wondering how the future of the Union will look like after Brexit. Against this background, this paper investigates public opinion on the future of the EU Post-Brexit using data from 8 European member states (Germany, France, Spain, Hungary, Poland, Denmark, Italy, Austria). The dependent variable is the support for one of the 5 scenarios from Juncker’s white paper. The independent variables include citizens’ preferences regarding levels of policy-making across various fields, importance of key policy projects, perceptions of Brexit, as well as social and political predispositions. The results will show which future scenario has the most support, who supports it, and why. The results aim to contribute to the ongoing debate about the future of the post-Brexit EU.
Authors: Julia Partheymüller, David Brandl, Sylvia Kritzinger, Carolina Plescia